**The GA-07 general election on November 3, 2026, pits incumbent Republican Rich McCormick against Democrat Tony Kozycki in a district that has shown consistent Republican dominance, with McCormick securing 64.9% in the prior cycle.** Georgia’s majority-vote rule triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, yet the two-candidate matchup and the district’s suburban-rural partisan composition make an outright majority highly probable. Traders assign 99.7% to “Yes” because primary results confirmed the nominees without vote-splitting complications, historical margins exceed 15 points, and no recent polling or events indicate narrowing. Late developments such as an unforeseen independent candidate, major scandal, or sharp national swing could theoretically compress the margin, but these remain low-probability factors against the established electoral baseline.