Recent USGS monitoring shows no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide from August 31 through September 5, with only two events exceeding M6.0—a 6.3 offshore Alaska on September 3 and a 6.2 in the South Sandwich Islands on September 2. Global M6.5+ occurrence averages roughly one to two per week but exhibits high week-to-week variability tied to plate-boundary stress release patterns. With one day remaining in the resolution window, the absence of qualifying events to date underpins trader consensus favoring zero occurrences. Updated USGS catalogs and any final aftershock sequences will determine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?
0 80%
1 19%
2 2.4%
4 <1%

0
80%

1
19%

2
2%

3
1%

4
1%

5
1%

more than 5
<1%
0 80%
1 19%
2 2.4%
4 <1%

0
80%

1
19%

2
2%

3
1%

4
1%

5
1%

more than 5
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent USGS monitoring shows no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide from August 31 through September 5, with only two events exceeding M6.0—a 6.3 offshore Alaska on September 3 and a 6.2 in the South Sandwich Islands on September 2. Global M6.5+ occurrence averages roughly one to two per week but exhibits high week-to-week variability tied to plate-boundary stress release patterns. With one day remaining in the resolution window, the absence of qualifying events to date underpins trader consensus favoring zero occurrences. Updated USGS catalogs and any final aftershock sequences will determine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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