Republican House members not seeking re-election in 2026 have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to Ballotpedia tracking, placing the count squarely in the leading 36–39 range. This total reflects dozens of announcements spanning late 2025 through August 2026, including recent retirements such as Rep. Chuck Edwards and earlier exits by members like Reps. Sam Graves, Darrell Issa, and Vern Buchanan. Many departures stem from decisions to pursue Senate seats, governorships, or retirement from public office amid typical midterm dynamics, committee shifts, and institutional considerations. With filing deadlines approaching in various states and limited additional announcements expected, trader consensus centers on this narrow band, though late filings or reversals by a small number of members could adjust the final tally before the cycle concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Republican House members not running in 2026?
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
36–39 89.9%
40–43 5.5%
32–35 1.7%
44+ 1.5%
$72,644 Vol.
$72,644 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<24
1%
24–27
1%
28–31
1%
32–35
2%
36–39
90%
40–43
6%
44+
2%
36–39 89.9%
40–43 5.5%
32–35 1.7%
44+ 1.5%
$72,644 Vol.
$72,644 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<24
$6,266 Vol.
1%
24–27
$20,168 Vol.
1%
28–31
$23,648 Vol.
1%
32–35
$6,284 Vol.
2%
36–39
$8,437 Vol.
90%
40–43
$4,228 Vol.
6%
44+
$3,613 Vol.
2%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican House members not seeking re-election in 2026 have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to Ballotpedia tracking, placing the count squarely in the leading 36–39 range. This total reflects dozens of announcements spanning late 2025 through August 2026, including recent retirements such as Rep. Chuck Edwards and earlier exits by members like Reps. Sam Graves, Darrell Issa, and Vern Buchanan. Many departures stem from decisions to pursue Senate seats, governorships, or retirement from public office amid typical midterm dynamics, committee shifts, and institutional considerations. With filing deadlines approaching in various states and limited additional announcements expected, trader consensus centers on this narrow band, though late filings or reversals by a small number of members could adjust the final tally before the cycle concludes.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$72,644End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican House members not seeking re-election in 2026 have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to Ballotpedia tracking, placing the count squarely in the leading 36–39 range. This total reflects dozens of announcements spanning late 2025 through August 2026, including recent retirements such as Rep. Chuck Edwards and earlier exits by members like Reps. Sam Graves, Darrell Issa, and Vern Buchanan. Many departures stem from decisions to pursue Senate seats, governorships, or retirement from public office amid typical midterm dynamics, committee shifts, and institutional considerations. With filing deadlines approaching in various states and limited additional announcements expected, trader consensus centers on this narrow band, though late filings or reversals by a small number of members could adjust the final tally before the cycle concludes.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$72,644End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican House members not seeking re-election in 2026 have reached 37 as of mid-August, according to Ballotpedia tracking, placing the count squarely in the leading 36–39 range. This total reflects dozens of announcements spanning late 2025 through August 2026, including recent retirements such as Rep. Chuck Edwards and earlier exits by members like Reps. Sam Graves, Darrell Issa, and Vern Buchanan. Many departures stem from decisions to pursue Senate seats, governorships, or retirement from public office amid typical midterm dynamics, committee shifts, and institutional considerations. With filing deadlines approaching in various states and limited additional announcements expected, trader consensus centers on this narrow band, though late filings or reversals by a small number of members could adjust the final tally before the cycle concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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