SpaceX's aggressive Starlink deployment cadence and proven Falcon 9 reuse rate position 13 launches as the market leader at 82% implied probability. By August 23, the company has completed roughly ten missions this month, including multiple Starlink batches from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral plus a Globalstar and USSF payload. Confirmed upcoming flights on August 25 and a Falcon Heavy carrying NASA's Roman Space Telescope on August 30 provide a clear path to 13, with traders viewing additional Starlink attempts as possible but secondary. Recent milestones, such as SpaceX's 100th orbital mission of 2026 and sustained booster flight counts exceeding 30, reinforce expectations of continued high volume through month-end while acknowledging that last-minute scrubs or range constraints remain realistic variables.