**The high implied probability against a joint Reservists–Blue and White list stems from the collapse of merger talks between Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party and Benny Gantz’s Blue and White.** Negotiations in mid-2026 centered on forming a broader centrist or center-right bloc ahead of the October 27 election, but foundered over differences on Haredi conscription policy and willingness to partner with ultra-Orthodox parties in a future coalition. Hendel’s group prioritized a strictly “Zionist” government excluding those parties, while Gantz’s side remained more flexible. A short-lived July–early September alliance between the Reservists and former Blue and White MK Hili Tropper dissolved, with Tropper joining Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Hendel partnering instead with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party. Final candidate lists submitted in early September confirmed the two factions running separately, aligning with current polling showing Blue and White near or below the threshold and the Reservists seeking viability through other pairings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
1% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**The high implied probability against a joint Reservists–Blue and White list stems from the collapse of merger talks between Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party and Benny Gantz’s Blue and White.** Negotiations in mid-2026 centered on forming a broader centrist or center-right bloc ahead of the October 27 election, but foundered over differences on Haredi conscription policy and willingness to partner with ultra-Orthodox parties in a future coalition. Hendel’s group prioritized a strictly “Zionist” government excluding those parties, while Gantz’s side remained more flexible.
A short-lived July–early September alliance between the Reservists and former Blue and White MK Hili Tropper dissolved, with Tropper joining Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Hendel partnering instead with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party. Final candidate lists submitted in early September confirmed the two factions running separately, aligning with current polling showing Blue and White near or below the threshold and the Reservists seeking viability through other pairings.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$466End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**The high implied probability against a joint Reservists–Blue and White list stems from the collapse of merger talks between Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party and Benny Gantz’s Blue and White.** Negotiations in mid-2026 centered on forming a broader centrist or center-right bloc ahead of the October 27 election, but foundered over differences on Haredi conscription policy and willingness to partner with ultra-Orthodox parties in a future coalition. Hendel’s group prioritized a strictly “Zionist” government excluding those parties, while Gantz’s side remained more flexible.
A short-lived July–early September alliance between the Reservists and former Blue and White MK Hili Tropper dissolved, with Tropper joining Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Hendel partnering instead with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party. Final candidate lists submitted in early September confirmed the two factions running separately, aligning with current polling showing Blue and White near or below the threshold and the Reservists seeking viability through other pairings.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$466End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The high implied probability against a joint Reservists–Blue and White list stems from the collapse of merger talks between Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party and Benny Gantz’s Blue and White.** Negotiations in mid-2026 centered on forming a broader centrist or center-right bloc ahead of the October 27 election, but foundered over differences on Haredi conscription policy and willingness to partner with ultra-Orthodox parties in a future coalition. Hendel’s group prioritized a strictly “Zionist” government excluding those parties, while Gantz’s side remained more flexible. A short-lived July–early September alliance between the Reservists and former Blue and White MK Hili Tropper dissolved, with Tropper joining Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Hendel partnering instead with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party. Final candidate lists submitted in early September confirmed the two factions running separately, aligning with current polling showing Blue and White near or below the threshold and the Reservists seeking viability through other pairings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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