Amcha Yisrael, led by Ofer Winter, submitted its independent Knesset slate on September 7, 2026, finalizing a decision to contest the October 27 election alone after rejecting merger overtures from other right-wing factions. The New Economic Party, headed by Yaron Zelekha, has instead formed an alliance with Yoaz Hendel following the breakup of the Zionist Home–Reservists grouping, producing the submitted "Reservists and the Economic Party" list. With the Central Elections Committee deadline approaching on September 9 and no reported negotiations or agreements between the two parties, traders assign near-certain probability against a joint run. Late procedural adjustments or unforeseen technical alliances remain theoretically possible but face significant barriers given the completed submissions and distinct ideological and leadership priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
<1% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New Economic Party and Amcha Yisrael contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Amcha Yisrael, led by Ofer Winter, submitted its independent Knesset slate on September 7, 2026, finalizing a decision to contest the October 27 election alone after rejecting merger overtures from other right-wing factions. The New Economic Party, headed by Yaron Zelekha, has instead formed an alliance with Yoaz Hendel following the breakup of the Zionist Home–Reservists grouping, producing the submitted "Reservists and the Economic Party" list. With the Central Elections Committee deadline approaching on September 9 and no reported negotiations or agreements between the two parties, traders assign near-certain probability against a joint run. Late procedural adjustments or unforeseen technical alliances remain theoretically possible but face significant barriers given the completed submissions and distinct ideological and leadership priorities.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New Economic Party and Amcha Yisrael contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New Economic Party and Amcha Yisrael contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$644End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New Economic Party and Amcha Yisrael contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Amcha Yisrael, led by Ofer Winter, submitted its independent Knesset slate on September 7, 2026, finalizing a decision to contest the October 27 election alone after rejecting merger overtures from other right-wing factions. The New Economic Party, headed by Yaron Zelekha, has instead formed an alliance with Yoaz Hendel following the breakup of the Zionist Home–Reservists grouping, producing the submitted "Reservists and the Economic Party" list. With the Central Elections Committee deadline approaching on September 9 and no reported negotiations or agreements between the two parties, traders assign near-certain probability against a joint run. Late procedural adjustments or unforeseen technical alliances remain theoretically possible but face significant barriers given the completed submissions and distinct ideological and leadership priorities.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New Economic Party and Amcha Yisrael contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New Economic Party and Amcha Yisrael contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$644End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amcha Yisrael, led by Ofer Winter, submitted its independent Knesset slate on September 7, 2026, finalizing a decision to contest the October 27 election alone after rejecting merger overtures from other right-wing factions. The New Economic Party, headed by Yaron Zelekha, has instead formed an alliance with Yoaz Hendel following the breakup of the Zionist Home–Reservists grouping, producing the submitted "Reservists and the Economic Party" list. With the Central Elections Committee deadline approaching on September 9 and no reported negotiations or agreements between the two parties, traders assign near-certain probability against a joint run. Late procedural adjustments or unforeseen technical alliances remain theoretically possible but face significant barriers given the completed submissions and distinct ideological and leadership priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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