**Traders assign a 94% probability to “No” on Zehut and Amcha Yisrael running on a joint list, reflecting the parties’ separate organizational paths and recent public positioning.** Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut formed a May 2026 joint list with former Otzma Yehudit chair Michael Ben-Ari focused on faith-based nationalist principles, while Ofer Winter launched the independent Amcha Yisrael party on August 25, 2026, with a slate headed by reservist figures and Arab-Israeli activist Yoseph Haddad. Recent polls place Amcha Yisrael at 4–8 seats and Zehut below the 3.25% threshold at roughly 1.3%, indicating limited incentive or time for consolidation ahead of the election. Feiglin voiced interest in an Amcha alliance but later denied it, and Netanyahu’s public calls for smaller right-wing parties to merge or withdraw have not produced any agreement. With Amcha’s list already publicized and both parties maintaining distinct platforms—one libertarian-nationalist, the other security-oriented—the absence of merger talks or electoral pacts in the final days of August supports the strong market consensus against a shared list.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
6% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Traders assign a 94% probability to “No” on Zehut and Amcha Yisrael running on a joint list, reflecting the parties’ separate organizational paths and recent public positioning.**
Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut formed a May 2026 joint list with former Otzma Yehudit chair Michael Ben-Ari focused on faith-based nationalist principles, while Ofer Winter launched the independent Amcha Yisrael party on August 25, 2026, with a slate headed by reservist figures and Arab-Israeli activist Yoseph Haddad. Recent polls place Amcha Yisrael at 4–8 seats and Zehut below the 3.25% threshold at roughly 1.3%, indicating limited incentive or time for consolidation ahead of the election. Feiglin voiced interest in an Amcha alliance but later denied it, and Netanyahu’s public calls for smaller right-wing parties to merge or withdraw have not produced any agreement. With Amcha’s list already publicized and both parties maintaining distinct platforms—one libertarian-nationalist, the other security-oriented—the absence of merger talks or electoral pacts in the final days of August supports the strong market consensus against a shared list.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Traders assign a 94% probability to “No” on Zehut and Amcha Yisrael running on a joint list, reflecting the parties’ separate organizational paths and recent public positioning.**
Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut formed a May 2026 joint list with former Otzma Yehudit chair Michael Ben-Ari focused on faith-based nationalist principles, while Ofer Winter launched the independent Amcha Yisrael party on August 25, 2026, with a slate headed by reservist figures and Arab-Israeli activist Yoseph Haddad. Recent polls place Amcha Yisrael at 4–8 seats and Zehut below the 3.25% threshold at roughly 1.3%, indicating limited incentive or time for consolidation ahead of the election. Feiglin voiced interest in an Amcha alliance but later denied it, and Netanyahu’s public calls for smaller right-wing parties to merge or withdraw have not produced any agreement. With Amcha’s list already publicized and both parties maintaining distinct platforms—one libertarian-nationalist, the other security-oriented—the absence of merger talks or electoral pacts in the final days of August supports the strong market consensus against a shared list.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 94% probability to “No” on Zehut and Amcha Yisrael running on a joint list, reflecting the parties’ separate organizational paths and recent public positioning.** Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut formed a May 2026 joint list with former Otzma Yehudit chair Michael Ben-Ari focused on faith-based nationalist principles, while Ofer Winter launched the independent Amcha Yisrael party on August 25, 2026, with a slate headed by reservist figures and Arab-Israeli activist Yoseph Haddad. Recent polls place Amcha Yisrael at 4–8 seats and Zehut below the 3.25% threshold at roughly 1.3%, indicating limited incentive or time for consolidation ahead of the election. Feiglin voiced interest in an Amcha alliance but later denied it, and Netanyahu’s public calls for smaller right-wing parties to merge or withdraw have not produced any agreement. With Amcha’s list already publicized and both parties maintaining distinct platforms—one libertarian-nationalist, the other security-oriented—the absence of merger talks or electoral pacts in the final days of August supports the strong market consensus against a shared list.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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