Zionist Home, the center-right alliance of Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel focused on reservists and liberal religious Zionism, polled near or below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys while Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, emerged as a leading opposition contender. Negotiations over joint lists intensified ahead of the October 27 election as parties finalized slates, with Tropper weighing alignment with Yashar against other options to strengthen the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc and clear the threshold. Hendel pursued a separate path with the New Economic Party. These last-minute talks, bloc arithmetic in polls, and threshold risks created balanced trader probabilities around 50%. The final slate submissions on September 7 clarified outcomes, with Tropper joining Yashar in a realistic slot while Hendel ran separately, underscoring how alliance decisions directly affect seat projections and governing majorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
0% chance
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Sep 8, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Zionist Home, the center-right alliance of Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel focused on reservists and liberal religious Zionism, polled near or below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys while Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, emerged as a leading opposition contender. Negotiations over joint lists intensified ahead of the October 27 election as parties finalized slates, with Tropper weighing alignment with Yashar against other options to strengthen the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc and clear the threshold. Hendel pursued a separate path with the New Economic Party. These last-minute talks, bloc arithmetic in polls, and threshold risks created balanced trader probabilities around 50%. The final slate submissions on September 7 clarified outcomes, with Tropper joining Yashar in a realistic slot while Hendel ran separately, underscoring how alliance decisions directly affect seat projections and governing majorities.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,058End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Zionist Home, the center-right alliance of Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel focused on reservists and liberal religious Zionism, polled near or below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys while Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, emerged as a leading opposition contender. Negotiations over joint lists intensified ahead of the October 27 election as parties finalized slates, with Tropper weighing alignment with Yashar against other options to strengthen the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc and clear the threshold. Hendel pursued a separate path with the New Economic Party. These last-minute talks, bloc arithmetic in polls, and threshold risks created balanced trader probabilities around 50%. The final slate submissions on September 7 clarified outcomes, with Tropper joining Yashar in a realistic slot while Hendel ran separately, underscoring how alliance decisions directly affect seat projections and governing majorities.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$1,058End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zionist Home, the center-right alliance of Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel focused on reservists and liberal religious Zionism, polled near or below the 3.25% threshold in recent surveys while Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, emerged as a leading opposition contender. Negotiations over joint lists intensified ahead of the October 27 election as parties finalized slates, with Tropper weighing alignment with Yashar against other options to strengthen the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc and clear the threshold. Hendel pursued a separate path with the New Economic Party. These last-minute talks, bloc arithmetic in polls, and threshold risks created balanced trader probabilities around 50%. The final slate submissions on September 7 clarified outcomes, with Tropper joining Yashar in a realistic slot while Hendel ran separately, underscoring how alliance decisions directly affect seat projections and governing majorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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