Traders see the lowest Dallas temperature on August 24 clustering around 84–89°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show persistent high pressure, minimal overnight cloud cover, and strong urban heat island retention keeping minimums elevated. Recent model runs indicate only modest variability from steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 84–89°F bins while lower or higher brackets remain low-probability outliers. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 75–78°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat anomaly that has limited cooling overnight. Updated evening observations and any last adjustments to dew-point forecasts will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
86-87°F 65%
88-89°F 65%
82-83°F 9%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 65%
88-89°F 65%
82-83°F 9%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$54 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$6 Vol.
29%
86-87°F
$15 Vol.
41%
88-89°F
$9 Vol.
40%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$70 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest Dallas temperature on August 24 clustering around 84–89°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show persistent high pressure, minimal overnight cloud cover, and strong urban heat island retention keeping minimums elevated. Recent model runs indicate only modest variability from steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 84–89°F bins while lower or higher brackets remain low-probability outliers. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 75–78°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat anomaly that has limited cooling overnight. Updated evening observations and any last adjustments to dew-point forecasts will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$654End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest Dallas temperature on August 24 clustering around 84–89°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show persistent high pressure, minimal overnight cloud cover, and strong urban heat island retention keeping minimums elevated. Recent model runs indicate only modest variability from steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 84–89°F bins while lower or higher brackets remain low-probability outliers. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 75–78°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat anomaly that has limited cooling overnight. Updated evening observations and any last adjustments to dew-point forecasts will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$654End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest Dallas temperature on August 24 clustering around 84–89°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show persistent high pressure, minimal overnight cloud cover, and strong urban heat island retention keeping minimums elevated. Recent model runs indicate only modest variability from steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly bunched probabilities across the 84–89°F bins while lower or higher brackets remain low-probability outliers. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 75–78°F, so current conditions reflect an ongoing heat anomaly that has limited cooling overnight. Updated evening observations and any last adjustments to dew-point forecasts will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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