**Persistent extreme heat and limited overnight cooling dominate forecasts for Dallas on August 25.** Official National Weather Service guidance and private models project an overnight low in the lower-to-mid 80s, with most runs clustering between 82–85°F under mostly clear skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and a strong warm air mass. This setup suppresses radiative cooling typical for late August, when the 1991–2020 average low sits near 76°F. **Trader consensus around 84–87°F ranges reflects tight model agreement on minimal deviation from these conditions.** Slight spread in probabilities for 78–83°F bands accounts for possible minor forecast shifts from any unexpected boundary-layer mixing or brief cloud cover, while very low odds on sub-80°F or 90°F+ outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant changes this close to the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
78-79°F 44%
80-81°F 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
29%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
16%
96°F or higher
14%
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
78-79°F 44%
80-81°F 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$5 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
44%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
43%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
48%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
48%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
43%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
16%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
16%
96°F or higher
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent extreme heat and limited overnight cooling dominate forecasts for Dallas on August 25.** Official National Weather Service guidance and private models project an overnight low in the lower-to-mid 80s, with most runs clustering between 82–85°F under mostly clear skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and a strong warm air mass. This setup suppresses radiative cooling typical for late August, when the 1991–2020 average low sits near 76°F.
**Trader consensus around 84–87°F ranges reflects tight model agreement on minimal deviation from these conditions.** Slight spread in probabilities for 78–83°F bands accounts for possible minor forecast shifts from any unexpected boundary-layer mixing or brief cloud cover, while very low odds on sub-80°F or 90°F+ outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant changes this close to the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent extreme heat and limited overnight cooling dominate forecasts for Dallas on August 25.** Official National Weather Service guidance and private models project an overnight low in the lower-to-mid 80s, with most runs clustering between 82–85°F under mostly clear skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and a strong warm air mass. This setup suppresses radiative cooling typical for late August, when the 1991–2020 average low sits near 76°F.
**Trader consensus around 84–87°F ranges reflects tight model agreement on minimal deviation from these conditions.** Slight spread in probabilities for 78–83°F bands accounts for possible minor forecast shifts from any unexpected boundary-layer mixing or brief cloud cover, while very low odds on sub-80°F or 90°F+ outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant changes this close to the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent extreme heat and limited overnight cooling dominate forecasts for Dallas on August 25.** Official National Weather Service guidance and private models project an overnight low in the lower-to-mid 80s, with most runs clustering between 82–85°F under mostly clear skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and a strong warm air mass. This setup suppresses radiative cooling typical for late August, when the 1991–2020 average low sits near 76°F. **Trader consensus around 84–87°F ranges reflects tight model agreement on minimal deviation from these conditions.** Slight spread in probabilities for 78–83°F bands accounts for possible minor forecast shifts from any unexpected boundary-layer mixing or brief cloud cover, while very low odds on sub-80°F or 90°F+ outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant changes this close to the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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