National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Dallas on August 23, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 84°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 84–85°F bin. Persistent summer heat, with daytime highs exceeding 100°F and elevated heat indices near 110°F, limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows daily minima rarely falling below 75°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official observations at stations like Dallas Love Field. Unlikely shifts could arise from unforecasted cloud cover, increased humidity, or localized precipitation altering the minimum by a degree or two before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
84-85°F 99.4%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$2,809 Vol.
$2,809 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
99%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 99.4%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$2,809 Vol.
$2,809 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$30 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$30 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$180 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$282 Vol.
99%
86-87°F
$350 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$842 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$155 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$142 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$563 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Dallas on August 23, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 84°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 84–85°F bin. Persistent summer heat, with daytime highs exceeding 100°F and elevated heat indices near 110°F, limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows daily minima rarely falling below 75°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official observations at stations like Dallas Love Field. Unlikely shifts could arise from unforecasted cloud cover, increased humidity, or localized precipitation altering the minimum by a degree or two before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,809End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Dallas on August 23, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 84°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 84–85°F bin. Persistent summer heat, with daytime highs exceeding 100°F and elevated heat indices near 110°F, limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows daily minima rarely falling below 75°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official observations at stations like Dallas Love Field. Unlikely shifts could arise from unforecasted cloud cover, increased humidity, or localized precipitation altering the minimum by a degree or two before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,809End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Dallas on August 23, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 84°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 84–85°F bin. Persistent summer heat, with daytime highs exceeding 100°F and elevated heat indices near 110°F, limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows daily minima rarely falling below 75°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official observations at stations like Dallas Love Field. Unlikely shifts could arise from unforecasted cloud cover, increased humidity, or localized precipitation altering the minimum by a degree or two before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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