**National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate a high near 108°F for Dallas on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow, with heat indices exceeding 110°F.** This aligns with the ongoing extreme heat warning and follows a 105–107°F day on August 23. Official guidance from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth places the most likely maximum in the 107–108°F range, consistent with historical August peaks and the 107°F record for the date. Trader consensus heavily favors the 106–107°F bin (51% implied probability), reflecting tight model agreement on minimal cooling or cloud cover, while the 17% on 108–109°F accounts for potential measurement variations at official stations or slight intensification. No precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures before the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
106-107°F 51%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 17%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
51%
108-109°F
17%
110-111°F
3%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 51%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 17%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
99°F or below
$176 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$625 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$1,363 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$665 Vol.
25%
106-107°F
$942 Vol.
51%
108-109°F
$101 Vol.
17%
110-111°F
$431 Vol.
3%
112-113°F
$469 Vol.
1%
114-115°F
$36 Vol.
1%
116-117°F
$254 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate a high near 108°F for Dallas on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow, with heat indices exceeding 110°F.** This aligns with the ongoing extreme heat warning and follows a 105–107°F day on August 23. Official guidance from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth places the most likely maximum in the 107–108°F range, consistent with historical August peaks and the 107°F record for the date. Trader consensus heavily favors the 106–107°F bin (51% implied probability), reflecting tight model agreement on minimal cooling or cloud cover, while the 17% on 108–109°F accounts for potential measurement variations at official stations or slight intensification. No precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures before the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,287End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate a high near 108°F for Dallas on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow, with heat indices exceeding 110°F.** This aligns with the ongoing extreme heat warning and follows a 105–107°F day on August 23. Official guidance from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth places the most likely maximum in the 107–108°F range, consistent with historical August peaks and the 107°F record for the date. Trader consensus heavily favors the 106–107°F bin (51% implied probability), reflecting tight model agreement on minimal cooling or cloud cover, while the 17% on 108–109°F accounts for potential measurement variations at official stations or slight intensification. No precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures before the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,287End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate a high near 108°F for Dallas on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow, with heat indices exceeding 110°F.** This aligns with the ongoing extreme heat warning and follows a 105–107°F day on August 23. Official guidance from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth places the most likely maximum in the 107–108°F range, consistent with historical August peaks and the 107°F record for the date. Trader consensus heavily favors the 106–107°F bin (51% implied probability), reflecting tight model agreement on minimal cooling or cloud cover, while the 17% on 108–109°F accounts for potential measurement variations at official stations or slight intensification. No precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures before the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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