Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to sunny, hot conditions with a high near 100–101°F for Houston on August 24, driven by a lingering heat pattern and heat advisory. This aligns with late-summer subtropical dynamics where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes, allowing inland temperatures to exceed the month’s 93–95°F climatological average. Model consensus and recent observations of upper-90s readings with heat indices above 105°F underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F bins. Any afternoon sea breeze or minor moisture increase could cap the peak closer to 97°F, while drier air would favor the upper end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and local model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
28%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
$444 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$234 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$570 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$492 Vol.
12%
98-99°F
$479 Vol.
57%
100-101°F
$376 Vol.
28%
102-103°F
$256 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$183 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$99 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$21 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to sunny, hot conditions with a high near 100–101°F for Houston on August 24, driven by a lingering heat pattern and heat advisory. This aligns with late-summer subtropical dynamics where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes, allowing inland temperatures to exceed the month’s 93–95°F climatological average. Model consensus and recent observations of upper-90s readings with heat indices above 105°F underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F bins. Any afternoon sea breeze or minor moisture increase could cap the peak closer to 97°F, while drier air would favor the upper end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and local model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,175End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to sunny, hot conditions with a high near 100–101°F for Houston on August 24, driven by a lingering heat pattern and heat advisory. This aligns with late-summer subtropical dynamics where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes, allowing inland temperatures to exceed the month’s 93–95°F climatological average. Model consensus and recent observations of upper-90s readings with heat indices above 105°F underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F bins. Any afternoon sea breeze or minor moisture increase could cap the peak closer to 97°F, while drier air would favor the upper end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and local model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,175End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to sunny, hot conditions with a high near 100–101°F for Houston on August 24, driven by a lingering heat pattern and heat advisory. This aligns with late-summer subtropical dynamics where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and sea breezes, allowing inland temperatures to exceed the month’s 93–95°F climatological average. Model consensus and recent observations of upper-90s readings with heat indices above 105°F underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F bins. Any afternoon sea breeze or minor moisture increase could cap the peak closer to 97°F, while drier air would favor the upper end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and local model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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