Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models point to overnight lows in the upper 70s°F for Houston on August 24 under continued hot, humid conditions with southerly Gulf flow, light winds, and minimal cloud cover or rain to enhance radiative cooling. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F outcomes, where small differences in urban heat island effects, dew point suppression, or exact timing of the minimum drive distinctions. The leading probability on 69°F or below likely incorporates historical variance or model spread in minimum readings, though recent August patterns and official guidance favor warmer readings consistent with typical subtropical diurnal ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 55%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
55%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
69°F or below 55%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
55%
70-71°F
$198 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$54 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$25 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models point to overnight lows in the upper 70s°F for Houston on August 24 under continued hot, humid conditions with southerly Gulf flow, light winds, and minimal cloud cover or rain to enhance radiative cooling. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F outcomes, where small differences in urban heat island effects, dew point suppression, or exact timing of the minimum drive distinctions. The leading probability on 69°F or below likely incorporates historical variance or model spread in minimum readings, though recent August patterns and official guidance favor warmer readings consistent with typical subtropical diurnal ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$437End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models point to overnight lows in the upper 70s°F for Houston on August 24 under continued hot, humid conditions with southerly Gulf flow, light winds, and minimal cloud cover or rain to enhance radiative cooling. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F outcomes, where small differences in urban heat island effects, dew point suppression, or exact timing of the minimum drive distinctions. The leading probability on 69°F or below likely incorporates historical variance or model spread in minimum readings, though recent August patterns and official guidance favor warmer readings consistent with typical subtropical diurnal ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$437End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models point to overnight lows in the upper 70s°F for Houston on August 24 under continued hot, humid conditions with southerly Gulf flow, light winds, and minimal cloud cover or rain to enhance radiative cooling. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F outcomes, where small differences in urban heat island effects, dew point suppression, or exact timing of the minimum drive distinctions. The leading probability on 69°F or below likely incorporates historical variance or model spread in minimum readings, though recent August patterns and official guidance favor warmer readings consistent with typical subtropical diurnal ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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