Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 30 most likely near 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h are advecting milder maritime air, while recent rainfall and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range. These conditions contrast with clearer historical analogs that produced lower readings closer to the 13.4°C climatological average. Traders weigh minor model spread on exact clearing timing and urban heat retention against the two-day forecast horizon, with resolution depending on official Météo-France observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
22°C or higher 49%
12°C or below 45%
14°C 45%
15°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
45%
13°C
20%
14°C
45%
15°C
45%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
45%
19°C
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
49%
22°C or higher 49%
12°C or below 45%
14°C 45%
15°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
45%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 30 most likely near 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h are advecting milder maritime air, while recent rainfall and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range. These conditions contrast with clearer historical analogs that produced lower readings closer to the 13.4°C climatological average. Traders weigh minor model spread on exact clearing timing and urban heat retention against the two-day forecast horizon, with resolution depending on official Météo-France observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 30 most likely near 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h are advecting milder maritime air, while recent rainfall and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range. These conditions contrast with clearer historical analogs that produced lower readings closer to the 13.4°C climatological average. Traders weigh minor model spread on exact clearing timing and urban heat retention against the two-day forecast horizon, with resolution depending on official Météo-France observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 30 most likely near 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h are advecting milder maritime air, while recent rainfall and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range. These conditions contrast with clearer historical analogs that produced lower readings closer to the 13.4°C climatological average. Traders weigh minor model spread on exact clearing timing and urban heat retention against the two-day forecast horizon, with resolution depending on official Météo-France observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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