**Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and European models converge on a minimum temperature of 17°C overnight into August 28 in Paris, with daytime highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light showers possible.** Southwest winds and moderate humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows above the long-term August average of roughly 14°C. Model runs show limited spread in the 16–18°C range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (46% implied) while allowing smaller probabilities for 16°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 28th will refine exact minimum readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
17°C 47%
16°C 25%
18°C 24%
14°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
9%
15°C
6%
16°C
25%
17°C
47%
18°C
24%
19°C
8%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
4%
17°C 47%
16°C 25%
18°C 24%
14°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$78 Vol.
4%
13°C
$63 Vol.
5%
14°C
$36 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
6%
16°C
$163 Vol.
25%
17°C
$283 Vol.
47%
18°C
$75 Vol.
24%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$79 Vol.
7%
22°C or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and European models converge on a minimum temperature of 17°C overnight into August 28 in Paris, with daytime highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light showers possible.** Southwest winds and moderate humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows above the long-term August average of roughly 14°C. Model runs show limited spread in the 16–18°C range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (46% implied) while allowing smaller probabilities for 16°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 28th will refine exact minimum readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$792End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and European models converge on a minimum temperature of 17°C overnight into August 28 in Paris, with daytime highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light showers possible.** Southwest winds and moderate humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows above the long-term August average of roughly 14°C. Model runs show limited spread in the 16–18°C range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (46% implied) while allowing smaller probabilities for 16°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 28th will refine exact minimum readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$792End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and European models converge on a minimum temperature of 17°C overnight into August 28 in Paris, with daytime highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light showers possible.** Southwest winds and moderate humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows above the long-term August average of roughly 14°C. Model runs show limited spread in the 16–18°C range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (46% implied) while allowing smaller probabilities for 16°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 28th will refine exact minimum readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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