Recent National Weather Service guidance points to mostly sunny conditions with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Atlanta on August 26, supporting model highs near 93°F but with potential cooling as convection develops after 2pm. This uncertainty over storm timing and intensity—driven by high humidity, southerly flow, and typical late-August instability—explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 88–93°F bins. Morning radiative heating under clear skies could push readings into the low 90s before any rain or cloud cover arrives, while stronger or earlier storms would favor the lower end of the range. Official forecasts remain the primary input for market participants assessing these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 26?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 26?
90-91°F 34%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 27%
94-95°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 34%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 27%
94-95°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
81°F or below
$294 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$143 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$52 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$74 Vol.
27%
90-91°F
$244 Vol.
34%
92-93°F
$153 Vol.
27%
94-95°F
$42 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$80 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to mostly sunny conditions with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Atlanta on August 26, supporting model highs near 93°F but with potential cooling as convection develops after 2pm. This uncertainty over storm timing and intensity—driven by high humidity, southerly flow, and typical late-August instability—explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 88–93°F bins. Morning radiative heating under clear skies could push readings into the low 90s before any rain or cloud cover arrives, while stronger or earlier storms would favor the lower end of the range. Official forecasts remain the primary input for market participants assessing these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,097End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to mostly sunny conditions with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Atlanta on August 26, supporting model highs near 93°F but with potential cooling as convection develops after 2pm. This uncertainty over storm timing and intensity—driven by high humidity, southerly flow, and typical late-August instability—explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 88–93°F bins. Morning radiative heating under clear skies could push readings into the low 90s before any rain or cloud cover arrives, while stronger or earlier storms would favor the lower end of the range. Official forecasts remain the primary input for market participants assessing these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,097End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to mostly sunny conditions with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Atlanta on August 26, supporting model highs near 93°F but with potential cooling as convection develops after 2pm. This uncertainty over storm timing and intensity—driven by high humidity, southerly flow, and typical late-August instability—explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 88–93°F bins. Morning radiative heating under clear skies could push readings into the low 90s before any rain or cloud cover arrives, while stronger or earlier storms would favor the lower end of the range. Official forecasts remain the primary input for market participants assessing these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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