Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and international models indicate highest temperatures of 32–34°C on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms that reduce surface insolation and evaporative cooling. Persistent late-summer humidity and weak steering flows have sustained recent highs near 34–35°C, but the post-Fu seasonal shift favors more frequent convective activity that typically caps daily maxima 2–4°C below clear-sky potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with precipitation probability exceeding 50% during peak heating hours; traders appear to assign higher weight to drier or delayed-rain scenarios that could push readings to 35–37°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether rain timing supports the market’s leading 34–36°C cluster.