Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate sunny conditions over Seattle on August 24 under building upper-level ridging, with northerly flow limiting marine layer influence and supporting afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s. Patchy smoke from regional fires may slightly suppress maximum readings while clear skies and light winds favor peak temperatures near or modestly above the 75.8°F climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 78-79°F (43.5%) and adjacent bins reflects this narrow forecast spread, with limited upside risk from model consensus and minimal precipitation signals through the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
78-79°F 44%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 44%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate sunny conditions over Seattle on August 24 under building upper-level ridging, with northerly flow limiting marine layer influence and supporting afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s. Patchy smoke from regional fires may slightly suppress maximum readings while clear skies and light winds favor peak temperatures near or modestly above the 75.8°F climatological average. Trader consensus clustering on 78-79°F (43.5%) and adjacent bins reflects this narrow forecast spread, with limited upside risk from model consensus and minimal precipitation signals through the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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