Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources show Seattle under building upper-level ridging Monday, with clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air promoting efficient overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors a minimum in the mid to upper 50s, aligning with the market's clustered leading outcomes near 55–58 °F and the climatological average low of 56 °F. Subtle differences among 54–55 °F, 56–57 °F, and 58–59 °F bins reflect minor variations in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, while lower-probability tails account for possible patchy smoke or slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS discussions and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 35%
54-55°F 30%
50-51°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
4%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
7%
68°F or higher
10%
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 35%
54-55°F 30%
50-51°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
$65 Vol.
4%
50-51°F
$55 Vol.
14%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
10%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
30%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
41%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
35%
60-61°F
$1 Vol.
10%
62-63°F
$9 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$83 Vol.
13%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
7%
68°F or higher
$55 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources show Seattle under building upper-level ridging Monday, with clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air promoting efficient overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors a minimum in the mid to upper 50s, aligning with the market's clustered leading outcomes near 55–58 °F and the climatological average low of 56 °F. Subtle differences among 54–55 °F, 56–57 °F, and 58–59 °F bins reflect minor variations in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, while lower-probability tails account for possible patchy smoke or slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS discussions and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$273End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources show Seattle under building upper-level ridging Monday, with clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air promoting efficient overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors a minimum in the mid to upper 50s, aligning with the market's clustered leading outcomes near 55–58 °F and the climatological average low of 56 °F. Subtle differences among 54–55 °F, 56–57 °F, and 58–59 °F bins reflect minor variations in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, while lower-probability tails account for possible patchy smoke or slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS discussions and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$273End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources show Seattle under building upper-level ridging Monday, with clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air promoting efficient overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors a minimum in the mid to upper 50s, aligning with the market's clustered leading outcomes near 55–58 °F and the climatological average low of 56 °F. Subtle differences among 54–55 °F, 56–57 °F, and 58–59 °F bins reflect minor variations in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, while lower-probability tails account for possible patchy smoke or slightly stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS discussions and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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