Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 23, 2026, project an overnight low in the mid to upper 50s°F under mostly clear skies and northerly winds of 10–15 mph, consistent with typical late-summer radiational cooling patterns. This aligns with the historical average low of 56.3°F and recent observations showing yesterday’s minimum of 59°F at Sea-Tac. The dominant 58–59°F market outcome reflects model consensus from NOAA runs and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter minimum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against the slim probability of cooler readings near 56°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
58-59°F 75%
56-57°F 26%
53°F or below 18%
54-55°F 16%
$1,218 Vol.
$1,218 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
53°F or below
18%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
85%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 75%
56-57°F 26%
53°F or below 18%
54-55°F 16%
$1,218 Vol.
$1,218 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
53°F or below
$25 Vol.
18%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
16%
56-57°F
$11 Vol.
16%
58-59°F
$142 Vol.
85%
60-61°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$101 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$260 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$124 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$155 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$130 Vol.
<1%
72°F or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 23, 2026, project an overnight low in the mid to upper 50s°F under mostly clear skies and northerly winds of 10–15 mph, consistent with typical late-summer radiational cooling patterns. This aligns with the historical average low of 56.3°F and recent observations showing yesterday’s minimum of 59°F at Sea-Tac. The dominant 58–59°F market outcome reflects model consensus from NOAA runs and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter minimum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against the slim probability of cooler readings near 56°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,218End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 23, 2026, project an overnight low in the mid to upper 50s°F under mostly clear skies and northerly winds of 10–15 mph, consistent with typical late-summer radiational cooling patterns. This aligns with the historical average low of 56.3°F and recent observations showing yesterday’s minimum of 59°F at Sea-Tac. The dominant 58–59°F market outcome reflects model consensus from NOAA runs and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter minimum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against the slim probability of cooler readings near 56°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,218End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 23, 2026, project an overnight low in the mid to upper 50s°F under mostly clear skies and northerly winds of 10–15 mph, consistent with typical late-summer radiational cooling patterns. This aligns with the historical average low of 56.3°F and recent observations showing yesterday’s minimum of 59°F at Sea-Tac. The dominant 58–59°F market outcome reflects model consensus from NOAA runs and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter minimum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against the slim probability of cooler readings near 56°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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