Forecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
35°C 25%
34°C 19%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C
25%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
15%
35°C 25%
34°C 19%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$5 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$95 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$7 Vol.
19%
35°C
$42 Vol.
25%
36°C
$0 Vol.
19%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$159End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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