**Recent typhoon activity and heavy monsoon-driven rainfall are suppressing peak temperatures in Guangzhou ahead of August 26, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a high probability of widespread showers and thunderstorms on the 26th, limiting daytime heating. Expected highs cluster in the 30–33 °C range (roughly 86–91 °F), well below the late-August climatological average high of ~33 °C and far from the all-time record of 36.1 °C. Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with Typhoon Narra and the southwest monsoon have already cooled recent days (Aug 23 highs near 32–34 °C), and similar conditions are projected to continue, reducing insolation and evaporative cooling effects. This setup favors the lower temperature resolution bands in the market. Traders are closely watching updated model runs and official CMA briefings for any late shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and higher readings. Historical analogs show that strong tropical systems in the South China Sea frequently cap Guangzhou highs in the low 30s during late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 20%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
12%
30°C
14%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
14%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 20%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$12 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent typhoon activity and heavy monsoon-driven rainfall are suppressing peak temperatures in Guangzhou ahead of August 26, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a high probability of widespread showers and thunderstorms on the 26th, limiting daytime heating. Expected highs cluster in the 30–33 °C range (roughly 86–91 °F), well below the late-August climatological average high of ~33 °C and far from the all-time record of 36.1 °C.
Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with Typhoon Narra and the southwest monsoon have already cooled recent days (Aug 23 highs near 32–34 °C), and similar conditions are projected to continue, reducing insolation and evaporative cooling effects. This setup favors the lower temperature resolution bands in the market. Traders are closely watching updated model runs and official CMA briefings for any late shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and higher readings. Historical analogs show that strong tropical systems in the South China Sea frequently cap Guangzhou highs in the low 30s during late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$12End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent typhoon activity and heavy monsoon-driven rainfall are suppressing peak temperatures in Guangzhou ahead of August 26, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a high probability of widespread showers and thunderstorms on the 26th, limiting daytime heating. Expected highs cluster in the 30–33 °C range (roughly 86–91 °F), well below the late-August climatological average high of ~33 °C and far from the all-time record of 36.1 °C.
Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with Typhoon Narra and the southwest monsoon have already cooled recent days (Aug 23 highs near 32–34 °C), and similar conditions are projected to continue, reducing insolation and evaporative cooling effects. This setup favors the lower temperature resolution bands in the market. Traders are closely watching updated model runs and official CMA briefings for any late shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and higher readings. Historical analogs show that strong tropical systems in the South China Sea frequently cap Guangzhou highs in the low 30s during late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent typhoon activity and heavy monsoon-driven rainfall are suppressing peak temperatures in Guangzhou ahead of August 26, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a high probability of widespread showers and thunderstorms on the 26th, limiting daytime heating. Expected highs cluster in the 30–33 °C range (roughly 86–91 °F), well below the late-August climatological average high of ~33 °C and far from the all-time record of 36.1 °C. Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with Typhoon Narra and the southwest monsoon have already cooled recent days (Aug 23 highs near 32–34 °C), and similar conditions are projected to continue, reducing insolation and evaporative cooling effects. This setup favors the lower temperature resolution bands in the market. Traders are closely watching updated model runs and official CMA briefings for any late shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and higher readings. Historical analogs show that strong tropical systems in the South China Sea frequently cap Guangzhou highs in the low 30s during late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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