Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in afternoon convective thunderstorms and cloud cover as the main driver splitting trader sentiment between 34°C and 35°C-or-higher outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce highs near 32–34°C in late August, but variable steering patterns and moisture levels can either enhance or suppress peak solar heating on any given day. Current model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast skies that may limit temperatures near 34°C while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 35°C or above. High humidity amplifies perceived heat but has limited direct impact on official maximums recorded by surface stations. Updated short-range model runs and morning observations tomorrow will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
35°C or higher 37%
34°C 35%
33°C 22%
32°C 10%
NEW
$10,679 Vol.
NEW
$10,679 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
22%
34°C
35%
35°C or higher
37%
35°C or higher 37%
34°C 35%
33°C 22%
32°C 10%
NEW
$10,679 Vol.
NEW
$10,679 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$618 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,421 Vol.
2%
31°C
$292 Vol.
4%
32°C
$592 Vol.
10%
33°C
$723 Vol.
22%
34°C
$616 Vol.
35%
35°C or higher
$4,291 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in afternoon convective thunderstorms and cloud cover as the main driver splitting trader sentiment between 34°C and 35°C-or-higher outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce highs near 32–34°C in late August, but variable steering patterns and moisture levels can either enhance or suppress peak solar heating on any given day. Current model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast skies that may limit temperatures near 34°C while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 35°C or above. High humidity amplifies perceived heat but has limited direct impact on official maximums recorded by surface stations. Updated short-range model runs and morning observations tomorrow will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,679End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in afternoon convective thunderstorms and cloud cover as the main driver splitting trader sentiment between 34°C and 35°C-or-higher outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce highs near 32–34°C in late August, but variable steering patterns and moisture levels can either enhance or suppress peak solar heating on any given day. Current model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast skies that may limit temperatures near 34°C while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 35°C or above. High humidity amplifies perceived heat but has limited direct impact on official maximums recorded by surface stations. Updated short-range model runs and morning observations tomorrow will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,679End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in afternoon convective thunderstorms and cloud cover as the main driver splitting trader sentiment between 34°C and 35°C-or-higher outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce highs near 32–34°C in late August, but variable steering patterns and moisture levels can either enhance or suppress peak solar heating on any given day. Current model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast skies that may limit temperatures near 34°C while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 35°C or above. High humidity amplifies perceived heat but has limited direct impact on official maximums recorded by surface stations. Updated short-range model runs and morning observations tomorrow will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions