Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and modest humidity typical of late-August subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow and scattered showers have limited daytime heating in recent days, aligning with climatological averages near 31°C and keeping stronger warming unlikely. Model consensus favors this range over 33°C or higher, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the peak by 1°C and explain the tight market split between the leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and historical analogs heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
31°C 47%
32°C 45%
33°C 5%
30°C 5%
NEW
$18,194 Vol.
NEW
$18,194 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
47%
32°C
45%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 45%
33°C 5%
30°C 5%
NEW
$18,194 Vol.
NEW
$18,194 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,506 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,528 Vol.
5%
31°C
$4,036 Vol.
47%
32°C
$4,057 Vol.
45%
33°C
$1,581 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,759 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$2,574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and modest humidity typical of late-August subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow and scattered showers have limited daytime heating in recent days, aligning with climatological averages near 31°C and keeping stronger warming unlikely. Model consensus favors this range over 33°C or higher, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the peak by 1°C and explain the tight market split between the leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and historical analogs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$18,194End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and modest humidity typical of late-August subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow and scattered showers have limited daytime heating in recent days, aligning with climatological averages near 31°C and keeping stronger warming unlikely. Model consensus favors this range over 33°C or higher, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the peak by 1°C and explain the tight market split between the leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and historical analogs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,194End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and modest humidity typical of late-August subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow and scattered showers have limited daytime heating in recent days, aligning with climatological averages near 31°C and keeping stronger warming unlikely. Model consensus favors this range over 33°C or higher, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the peak by 1°C and explain the tight market split between the leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and historical analogs heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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