Forecast models from multiple sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 24 will likely reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 67.5% implied probability for that outcome and recent resolutions at the same level. Typical late-summer conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partial cloud cover, are expected to moderate radiative cooling and prevent sharper drops below the climatological baseline of 25–27°C. Consensus across extended forecasts shows minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, with limited typhoon influence or frontal systems to alter the pattern. Updated model runs overnight will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
27°C 76%
26°C 13%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
76%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
26°C 13%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$130 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$198 Vol.
1%
25°C
$467 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,100 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,045 Vol.
76%
28°C
$1,647 Vol.
6%
29°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 24 will likely reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 67.5% implied probability for that outcome and recent resolutions at the same level. Typical late-summer conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partial cloud cover, are expected to moderate radiative cooling and prevent sharper drops below the climatological baseline of 25–27°C. Consensus across extended forecasts shows minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, with limited typhoon influence or frontal systems to alter the pattern. Updated model runs overnight will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,983End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 24 will likely reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 67.5% implied probability for that outcome and recent resolutions at the same level. Typical late-summer conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partial cloud cover, are expected to moderate radiative cooling and prevent sharper drops below the climatological baseline of 25–27°C. Consensus across extended forecasts shows minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, with limited typhoon influence or frontal systems to alter the pattern. Updated model runs overnight will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,983End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 24 will likely reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 67.5% implied probability for that outcome and recent resolutions at the same level. Typical late-summer conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partial cloud cover, are expected to moderate radiative cooling and prevent sharper drops below the climatological baseline of 25–27°C. Consensus across extended forecasts shows minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, with limited typhoon influence or frontal systems to alter the pattern. Updated model runs overnight will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions