Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
15%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
6%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$8 Vol.
15%
26°C
$6 Vol.
28%
27°C
$6 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$118 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$143End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$143End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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