Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate partly cloudy conditions with afternoon thundershowers for Taipei on August 26, supporting highs near 31–32°C amid typical late-summer humidity and convective activity. Subtropical monsoon patterns often produce cloud cover and scattered precipitation that suppress peak temperatures below climatological averages of 33–34°C, aligning with the market's emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome. Model consensus highlights steering flows and moisture that favor moderation rather than extreme heating, with low probabilities assigned to 33°C+ reflecting limited clearing potential. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours reinforces this range ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
34°C 36%
33°C 28%
32°C 20%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
20%
33°C
30%
34°C
25%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
4%
34°C 36%
33°C 28%
32°C 20%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
20%
33°C
30%
34°C
25%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate partly cloudy conditions with afternoon thundershowers for Taipei on August 26, supporting highs near 31–32°C amid typical late-summer humidity and convective activity. Subtropical monsoon patterns often produce cloud cover and scattered precipitation that suppress peak temperatures below climatological averages of 33–34°C, aligning with the market's emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome. Model consensus highlights steering flows and moisture that favor moderation rather than extreme heating, with low probabilities assigned to 33°C+ reflecting limited clearing potential. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours reinforces this range ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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