Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 26 show mostly sunny conditions with highs clustered near 29–31°C under persistent high pressure and light northeast winds, aligning with late-summer climatology. Model consensus favors peak temperatures in the upper 20s, yet modest spread in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and any thin afternoon cloud cover creates uncertainty around the precise maximum. Official station readings, which resolve the market, can vary slightly by location and measurement timing, supporting the tight 50% odds across 25–29°C outcomes while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
29°C 47%
27°C 40%
28°C 40%
25°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
12%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
47%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
29°C 47%
27°C 40%
28°C 40%
25°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$47 Vol.
12%
27°C
$6 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
47%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 26 show mostly sunny conditions with highs clustered near 29–31°C under persistent high pressure and light northeast winds, aligning with late-summer climatology. Model consensus favors peak temperatures in the upper 20s, yet modest spread in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and any thin afternoon cloud cover creates uncertainty around the precise maximum. Official station readings, which resolve the market, can vary slightly by location and measurement timing, supporting the tight 50% odds across 25–29°C outcomes while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$53End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 26 show mostly sunny conditions with highs clustered near 29–31°C under persistent high pressure and light northeast winds, aligning with late-summer climatology. Model consensus favors peak temperatures in the upper 20s, yet modest spread in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and any thin afternoon cloud cover creates uncertainty around the precise maximum. Official station readings, which resolve the market, can vary slightly by location and measurement timing, supporting the tight 50% odds across 25–29°C outcomes while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 26 show mostly sunny conditions with highs clustered near 29–31°C under persistent high pressure and light northeast winds, aligning with late-summer climatology. Model consensus favors peak temperatures in the upper 20s, yet modest spread in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and any thin afternoon cloud cover creates uncertainty around the precise maximum. Official station readings, which resolve the market, can vary slightly by location and measurement timing, supporting the tight 50% odds across 25–29°C outcomes while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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