Forecast consensus from major models places Milan's August 26 maximum near 29–30°C under typical late-summer Po Valley conditions, with light southeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover favoring peak readings in that narrow band. Recent runs show slight day-to-day variability around the climatological 28–31°C envelope, where small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting model spread and the resolution criterion of the official Milan station reading rather than any single deterministic solution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?
29°C 37%
30°C 31%
28°C 30%
27°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
37%
30°C
31%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
6%
29°C 37%
30°C 31%
28°C 30%
27°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$52 Vol.
3%
27°C
$5 Vol.
8%
28°C
$71 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
37%
30°C
$0 Vol.
31%
31°C
$11 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models places Milan's August 26 maximum near 29–30°C under typical late-summer Po Valley conditions, with light southeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover favoring peak readings in that narrow band. Recent runs show slight day-to-day variability around the climatological 28–31°C envelope, where small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting model spread and the resolution criterion of the official Milan station reading rather than any single deterministic solution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$154End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models places Milan's August 26 maximum near 29–30°C under typical late-summer Po Valley conditions, with light southeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover favoring peak readings in that narrow band. Recent runs show slight day-to-day variability around the climatological 28–31°C envelope, where small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting model spread and the resolution criterion of the official Milan station reading rather than any single deterministic solution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$154End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from major models places Milan's August 26 maximum near 29–30°C under typical late-summer Po Valley conditions, with light southeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover favoring peak readings in that narrow band. Recent runs show slight day-to-day variability around the climatological 28–31°C envelope, where small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting model spread and the resolution criterion of the official Milan station reading rather than any single deterministic solution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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