**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 23–24°C in Munich on August 24, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow.** Current runs (GFS, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and local services) show afternoon maxima clustered in this narrow range, driven by mostly cloudy skies that cap insolation, light-to-moderate easterly winds (10–15 km/h), and dew points in the 10–12°C range that limit surface heating. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected, keeping conditions dry with only low precipitation probabilities. This aligns closely with late-August climatology for Munich (typical daily highs near 23°C), reducing the chance of outliers above 25°C or below 22°C. Traders have priced the tight clustering of outcomes accordingly, with 24°C holding the plurality at 51% implied probability as the central tendency of ensemble forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 52%
23°C 24%
25°C 17%
22°C 8%
NEW
$12,252 Vol.
NEW
$12,252 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
52%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 52%
23°C 24%
25°C 17%
22°C 8%
NEW
$12,252 Vol.
NEW
$12,252 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$136 Vol.
1%
21°C
$279 Vol.
2%
22°C
$2,654 Vol.
8%
23°C
$5,160 Vol.
24%
24°C
$1,211 Vol.
52%
25°C
$1,675 Vol.
17%
26°C
$199 Vol.
2%
27°C
$105 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$560 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 23–24°C in Munich on August 24, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow.**
Current runs (GFS, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and local services) show afternoon maxima clustered in this narrow range, driven by mostly cloudy skies that cap insolation, light-to-moderate easterly winds (10–15 km/h), and dew points in the 10–12°C range that limit surface heating. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected, keeping conditions dry with only low precipitation probabilities. This aligns closely with late-August climatology for Munich (typical daily highs near 23°C), reducing the chance of outliers above 25°C or below 22°C.
Traders have priced the tight clustering of outcomes accordingly, with 24°C holding the plurality at 51% implied probability as the central tendency of ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,252End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 23–24°C in Munich on August 24, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow.**
Current runs (GFS, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and local services) show afternoon maxima clustered in this narrow range, driven by mostly cloudy skies that cap insolation, light-to-moderate easterly winds (10–15 km/h), and dew points in the 10–12°C range that limit surface heating. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected, keeping conditions dry with only low precipitation probabilities. This aligns closely with late-August climatology for Munich (typical daily highs near 23°C), reducing the chance of outliers above 25°C or below 22°C.
Traders have priced the tight clustering of outcomes accordingly, with 24°C holding the plurality at 51% implied probability as the central tendency of ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,252End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 23–24°C in Munich on August 24, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow.** Current runs (GFS, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and local services) show afternoon maxima clustered in this narrow range, driven by mostly cloudy skies that cap insolation, light-to-moderate easterly winds (10–15 km/h), and dew points in the 10–12°C range that limit surface heating. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected, keeping conditions dry with only low precipitation probabilities. This aligns closely with late-August climatology for Munich (typical daily highs near 23°C), reducing the chance of outliers above 25°C or below 22°C. Traders have priced the tight clustering of outcomes accordingly, with 24°C holding the plurality at 51% implied probability as the central tendency of ensemble forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions