Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Munich's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 11°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. This positions 9–11°C outcomes as primary drivers of trader sentiment, reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average low of 13.2°C while allowing for localized variations or slight forecast revisions. Historical extremes below 7°C remain rare for the date, supporting the lower probability assigned to colder thresholds. Updated model guidance and any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
6°C or below 30%
9°C 28%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
30%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
28%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
9%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 30%
9°C 28%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$25 Vol.
30%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$10 Vol.
9%
13°C
$80 Vol.
1%
14°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Munich's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 11°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. This positions 9–11°C outcomes as primary drivers of trader sentiment, reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average low of 13.2°C while allowing for localized variations or slight forecast revisions. Historical extremes below 7°C remain rare for the date, supporting the lower probability assigned to colder thresholds. Updated model guidance and any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$696End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Munich's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 11°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. This positions 9–11°C outcomes as primary drivers of trader sentiment, reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average low of 13.2°C while allowing for localized variations or slight forecast revisions. Historical extremes below 7°C remain rare for the date, supporting the lower probability assigned to colder thresholds. Updated model guidance and any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$696End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Munich's overnight low on August 24 will reach approximately 11°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. This positions 9–11°C outcomes as primary drivers of trader sentiment, reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average low of 13.2°C while allowing for localized variations or slight forecast revisions. Historical extremes below 7°C remain rare for the date, supporting the lower probability assigned to colder thresholds. Updated model guidance and any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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