Recent DWD and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Munich on August 23 points to an overnight minimum near 8–9 °C under clear, calm conditions that allow strong radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. This consensus, consistent with AccuWeather’s month-long outlook showing typical late-August lows in that range, has driven near-certain trader positioning on the 8 °C outcome. Official resolution will hinge on the precise minimum recorded at the reference station before midnight UTC, so modest forecast errors in boundary-layer humidity, wind, or cloud timing remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final reading into an adjacent bucket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 23?
8°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$3,250 Vol.
$3,250 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
100%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$3,250 Vol.
$3,250 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
$280 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$442 Vol.
100%
9°C
$550 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent DWD and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Munich on August 23 points to an overnight minimum near 8–9 °C under clear, calm conditions that allow strong radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. This consensus, consistent with AccuWeather’s month-long outlook showing typical late-August lows in that range, has driven near-certain trader positioning on the 8 °C outcome. Official resolution will hinge on the precise minimum recorded at the reference station before midnight UTC, so modest forecast errors in boundary-layer humidity, wind, or cloud timing remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final reading into an adjacent bucket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,250End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent DWD and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Munich on August 23 points to an overnight minimum near 8–9 °C under clear, calm conditions that allow strong radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. This consensus, consistent with AccuWeather’s month-long outlook showing typical late-August lows in that range, has driven near-certain trader positioning on the 8 °C outcome. Official resolution will hinge on the precise minimum recorded at the reference station before midnight UTC, so modest forecast errors in boundary-layer humidity, wind, or cloud timing remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final reading into an adjacent bucket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,250End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent DWD and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Munich on August 23 points to an overnight minimum near 8–9 °C under clear, calm conditions that allow strong radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. This consensus, consistent with AccuWeather’s month-long outlook showing typical late-August lows in that range, has driven near-certain trader positioning on the 8 °C outcome. Official resolution will hinge on the precise minimum recorded at the reference station before midnight UTC, so modest forecast errors in boundary-layer humidity, wind, or cloud timing remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final reading into an adjacent bucket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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