Official Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 22°C in London on August 24 under mostly dry conditions with sunny intervals and moderate easterly winds of 10–15 mph. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 21°C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of trader sentiment. The narrow spread reflects typical model uncertainty in peak timing and any late-day cloud buildup that could shave 1°C off the high. Late-August climatology supports readings near 21–23°C when high pressure dominates, with current guidance showing no significant Atlantic influence or showers to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or insolation will be the key near-term variables traders watch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 24?
Highest temperature in London on August 24?
22°C 44%
21°C 38%
20°C 9%
23°C 9%
NEW
$20,110 Vol.
NEW
$20,110 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
38%
22°C
44%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 38%
20°C 9%
23°C 9%
NEW
$20,110 Vol.
NEW
$20,110 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$382 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$819 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,719 Vol.
9%
21°C
$2,247 Vol.
38%
22°C
$5,319 Vol.
44%
23°C
$1,902 Vol.
9%
24°C
$3,208 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,608 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$980 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 22°C in London on August 24 under mostly dry conditions with sunny intervals and moderate easterly winds of 10–15 mph. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 21°C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of trader sentiment. The narrow spread reflects typical model uncertainty in peak timing and any late-day cloud buildup that could shave 1°C off the high. Late-August climatology supports readings near 21–23°C when high pressure dominates, with current guidance showing no significant Atlantic influence or showers to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or insolation will be the key near-term variables traders watch.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$20,110End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 22°C in London on August 24 under mostly dry conditions with sunny intervals and moderate easterly winds of 10–15 mph. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 21°C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of trader sentiment. The narrow spread reflects typical model uncertainty in peak timing and any late-day cloud buildup that could shave 1°C off the high. Late-August climatology supports readings near 21–23°C when high pressure dominates, with current guidance showing no significant Atlantic influence or showers to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or insolation will be the key near-term variables traders watch.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,110End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 22°C in London on August 24 under mostly dry conditions with sunny intervals and moderate easterly winds of 10–15 mph. This aligns with the market’s leading 22°C and 21°C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of trader sentiment. The narrow spread reflects typical model uncertainty in peak timing and any late-day cloud buildup that could shave 1°C off the high. Late-August climatology supports readings near 21–23°C when high pressure dominates, with current guidance showing no significant Atlantic influence or showers to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or insolation will be the key near-term variables traders watch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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