Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds over London on August 24, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 41% implied probability. Typical August nocturnal baselines near 14°C provide climatological context, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward 15–16°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 24?
Lowest temperature in London on August 24?
14°C 42%
13°C 29%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
12%
13°C
29%
14°C
42%
15°C
15%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
13°C 29%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
$29 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
2%
12°C
$456 Vol.
12%
13°C
$626 Vol.
29%
14°C
$468 Vol.
42%
15°C
$1,188 Vol.
15%
16°C
$169 Vol.
5%
17°C
$20 Vol.
2%
18°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds over London on August 24, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 41% implied probability. Typical August nocturnal baselines near 14°C provide climatological context, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward 15–16°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,859End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds over London on August 24, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 41% implied probability. Typical August nocturnal baselines near 14°C provide climatological context, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward 15–16°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,859End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds over London on August 24, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 14°C at 41% implied probability. Typical August nocturnal baselines near 14°C provide climatological context, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward 15–16°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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