Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 25, driven by persistent North Pacific high pressure maintaining warm, humid conditions while afternoon instability and a 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms introduce cooling potential. Historical climatology for late August shows typical maxima of 28–30°C, and current model consensus reflects modest moderation from the ongoing heatwave, with surface observations indicating dew points near 25–26°C that limit extreme heating. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
30°C 42%
31°C 31%
29°C 15%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
42%
31°C
31%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 42%
31°C 31%
29°C 15%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$161 Vol.
1%
25°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$493 Vol.
1%
28°C
$213 Vol.
5%
29°C
$141 Vol.
15%
30°C
$229 Vol.
42%
31°C
$248 Vol.
31%
32°C
$2 Vol.
7%
33°C
$210 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 25, driven by persistent North Pacific high pressure maintaining warm, humid conditions while afternoon instability and a 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms introduce cooling potential. Historical climatology for late August shows typical maxima of 28–30°C, and current model consensus reflects modest moderation from the ongoing heatwave, with surface observations indicating dew points near 25–26°C that limit extreme heating. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,055End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 25, driven by persistent North Pacific high pressure maintaining warm, humid conditions while afternoon instability and a 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms introduce cooling potential. Historical climatology for late August shows typical maxima of 28–30°C, and current model consensus reflects modest moderation from the ongoing heatwave, with surface observations indicating dew points near 25–26°C that limit extreme heating. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,055End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 25, driven by persistent North Pacific high pressure maintaining warm, humid conditions while afternoon instability and a 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms introduce cooling potential. Historical climatology for late August shows typical maxima of 28–30°C, and current model consensus reflects modest moderation from the ongoing heatwave, with surface observations indicating dew points near 25–26°C that limit extreme heating. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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