Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate the lowest temperature at Incheon International Airport on August 24 will likely fall between 25–26 °C due to persistent high humidity near 90–95%, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with an extended warm period where overnight lows have remained elevated above seasonal norms of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread on this range, with any slight deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or localized wind shifts overnight. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight scientific consensus on the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
26°C 56%
25°C 40%
24°C 4%
21°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
40%
26°C
56%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
25°C 40%
24°C 4%
21°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$224 Vol.
1%
22°C
$210 Vol.
1%
23°C
$93 Vol.
1%
24°C
$353 Vol.
4%
25°C
$410 Vol.
40%
26°C
$2,587 Vol.
56%
27°C
$598 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$628 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$262 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate the lowest temperature at Incheon International Airport on August 24 will likely fall between 25–26 °C due to persistent high humidity near 90–95%, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with an extended warm period where overnight lows have remained elevated above seasonal norms of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread on this range, with any slight deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or localized wind shifts overnight. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight scientific consensus on the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,658End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate the lowest temperature at Incheon International Airport on August 24 will likely fall between 25–26 °C due to persistent high humidity near 90–95%, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with an extended warm period where overnight lows have remained elevated above seasonal norms of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread on this range, with any slight deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or localized wind shifts overnight. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight scientific consensus on the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,658End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate the lowest temperature at Incheon International Airport on August 24 will likely fall between 25–26 °C due to persistent high humidity near 90–95%, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with an extended warm period where overnight lows have remained elevated above seasonal norms of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread on this range, with any slight deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or localized wind shifts overnight. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight scientific consensus on the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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