Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27 °C, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass along the North Pacific high, elevated dew points near 25 °C, and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon remnants, produce only modest overnight drops despite daytime highs around 30–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters on the 25–27 °C outcomes because updated model runs show limited variability in steering flow or clearing potential before the measurement window closes, though scattered thunderstorms could introduce minor localized cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows several degrees cooler, underscoring how the current anomalous heat supports the market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
26°C 44%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
24°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
26%
26°C
44%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 44%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
24°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C
$87 Vol.
4%
24°C
$98 Vol.
5%
25°C
$209 Vol.
26%
26°C
$335 Vol.
44%
27°C
$286 Vol.
27%
28°C
$107 Vol.
1%
29°C
$83 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27 °C, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass along the North Pacific high, elevated dew points near 25 °C, and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon remnants, produce only modest overnight drops despite daytime highs around 30–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters on the 25–27 °C outcomes because updated model runs show limited variability in steering flow or clearing potential before the measurement window closes, though scattered thunderstorms could introduce minor localized cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows several degrees cooler, underscoring how the current anomalous heat supports the market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,265End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27 °C, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass along the North Pacific high, elevated dew points near 25 °C, and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon remnants, produce only modest overnight drops despite daytime highs around 30–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters on the 25–27 °C outcomes because updated model runs show limited variability in steering flow or clearing potential before the measurement window closes, though scattered thunderstorms could introduce minor localized cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows several degrees cooler, underscoring how the current anomalous heat supports the market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,265End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon on August 25 will likely settle near 25–27 °C, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass along the North Pacific high, elevated dew points near 25 °C, and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon remnants, produce only modest overnight drops despite daytime highs around 30–33 °C. Trader consensus clusters on the 25–27 °C outcomes because updated model runs show limited variability in steering flow or clearing potential before the measurement window closes, though scattered thunderstorms could introduce minor localized cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows several degrees cooler, underscoring how the current anomalous heat supports the market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions