Persistent high pressure over the Southwest is driving a heat wave with subsidence warming and weak onshore flow, pushing Los Angeles temperatures 6–12°F above normal for August 24. National Weather Service guidance highlights sunny skies and southwest winds around 15 mph, with coastal moderation from the marine layer likely capping peaks near the mid-80s at key stations while inland basins trend warmer. Model consensus and recent climatology support the market's tight clustering around 82–85°F, as traders assess the balance between daytime heating and any late-day seabreeze relief before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 8%
$10,962 Vol.
$10,962 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 8%
$10,962 Vol.
$10,962 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the Southwest is driving a heat wave with subsidence warming and weak onshore flow, pushing Los Angeles temperatures 6–12°F above normal for August 24. National Weather Service guidance highlights sunny skies and southwest winds around 15 mph, with coastal moderation from the marine layer likely capping peaks near the mid-80s at key stations while inland basins trend warmer. Model consensus and recent climatology support the market's tight clustering around 82–85°F, as traders assess the balance between daytime heating and any late-day seabreeze relief before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions