Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low near 70°F in Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent marine layer influence moderating coastal temperatures amid clear skies and light southwest winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late summer, where typical lows range from the mid-60s to low-70s, and recent observations show minimal overnight cooling without unusual heat or offshore flow. Trader consensus heavily favors the 70-71°F bin as the most probable outcome based on converging model runs, though minor variations in exact minimum timing or microclimate effects could shift resolution within adjacent ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
70-71°F 99%
66-67°F 26%
68-69°F 12%
64-65°F 3%
$1,107 Vol.
$1,107 Vol.
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 99%
66-67°F 26%
68-69°F 12%
64-65°F 3%
$1,107 Vol.
$1,107 Vol.
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low near 70°F in Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent marine layer influence moderating coastal temperatures amid clear skies and light southwest winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late summer, where typical lows range from the mid-60s to low-70s, and recent observations show minimal overnight cooling without unusual heat or offshore flow. Trader consensus heavily favors the 70-71°F bin as the most probable outcome based on converging model runs, though minor variations in exact minimum timing or microclimate effects could shift resolution within adjacent ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions