**Marine influence and typical August conditions underpin the overwhelming market consensus (99.5% on 91°F or below) for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** Onshore flow from the Pacific keeps coastal and downtown areas moderated, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F at key stations like Los Angeles International Airport and around 85–90°F downtown—well below historical extremes for the date (record 94–100°F). Recent observations confirm this pattern, with August 2026 highs at LAX mostly 77–83°F amid persistent southwest winds and no offshore or heat-wave signals. Traders price the low probability of breaching 91°F because such an outcome would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as strong easterly flow or rapid model divergence, that current forecasts and climatology do not support. Resolution hinges on official station maxima, where marine cooling reliably caps readings in this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$8,099 Vol.
$8,099 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
91°F or below 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$8,099 Vol.
$8,099 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
$1,553 Vol.
99%
92-93°F
$873 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,418 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,296 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$382 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$977 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$172 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$176 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$891 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine influence and typical August conditions underpin the overwhelming market consensus (99.5% on 91°F or below) for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** Onshore flow from the Pacific keeps coastal and downtown areas moderated, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F at key stations like Los Angeles International Airport and around 85–90°F downtown—well below historical extremes for the date (record 94–100°F). Recent observations confirm this pattern, with August 2026 highs at LAX mostly 77–83°F amid persistent southwest winds and no offshore or heat-wave signals.
Traders price the low probability of breaching 91°F because such an outcome would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as strong easterly flow or rapid model divergence, that current forecasts and climatology do not support. Resolution hinges on official station maxima, where marine cooling reliably caps readings in this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$8,099End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine influence and typical August conditions underpin the overwhelming market consensus (99.5% on 91°F or below) for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** Onshore flow from the Pacific keeps coastal and downtown areas moderated, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F at key stations like Los Angeles International Airport and around 85–90°F downtown—well below historical extremes for the date (record 94–100°F). Recent observations confirm this pattern, with August 2026 highs at LAX mostly 77–83°F amid persistent southwest winds and no offshore or heat-wave signals.
Traders price the low probability of breaching 91°F because such an outcome would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as strong easterly flow or rapid model divergence, that current forecasts and climatology do not support. Resolution hinges on official station maxima, where marine cooling reliably caps readings in this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,099End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine influence and typical August conditions underpin the overwhelming market consensus (99.5% on 91°F or below) for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23, 2026.** Onshore flow from the Pacific keeps coastal and downtown areas moderated, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F at key stations like Los Angeles International Airport and around 85–90°F downtown—well below historical extremes for the date (record 94–100°F). Recent observations confirm this pattern, with August 2026 highs at LAX mostly 77–83°F amid persistent southwest winds and no offshore or heat-wave signals. Traders price the low probability of breaching 91°F because such an outcome would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as strong easterly flow or rapid model divergence, that current forecasts and climatology do not support. Resolution hinges on official station maxima, where marine cooling reliably caps readings in this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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