Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a daily minimum temperature in the lower 70s for Los Angeles on August 24, driven by a persistent warm airmass, light onshore flow, and limited marine-layer cooling overnight. Clear to mostly clear skies will permit some radiational cooling after sunset, yet the elevated baseline temperatures from recent days—when lows have ranged from the upper 60s to low 70s—limit further drops. Trader sentiment clusters around 68–71 °F because small differences in forecast wind speed, dew-point depression, and the timing of any weak trough passage can shift the minimum by 1–3 °F. Historical August averages near 65 °F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, while model spread on exact overnight minima explains the close probabilities across the central bins. Updated NWS and mesonet observations tomorrow morning will resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 12%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 12%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a daily minimum temperature in the lower 70s for Los Angeles on August 24, driven by a persistent warm airmass, light onshore flow, and limited marine-layer cooling overnight. Clear to mostly clear skies will permit some radiational cooling after sunset, yet the elevated baseline temperatures from recent days—when lows have ranged from the upper 60s to low 70s—limit further drops. Trader sentiment clusters around 68–71 °F because small differences in forecast wind speed, dew-point depression, and the timing of any weak trough passage can shift the minimum by 1–3 °F. Historical August averages near 65 °F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, while model spread on exact overnight minima explains the close probabilities across the central bins. Updated NWS and mesonet observations tomorrow morning will resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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