Trader consensus on the San Francisco highest temperature for August 24 centers on the 68–73 °F range because National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 67 °F, with afternoon clearing and west winds of 10–20 mph determining whether readings reach the upper 60s or low 70s. A compressed marine layer and persistent onshore flow are suppressing inland heat transport, keeping the city near or slightly below the 69.6 °F climatological average, while minor differences in model timing of stratus dissipation create the tight spread between the 70–71 °F (33 %) and 68–69 °F (24.5 %) bins. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will resolve the final maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 10%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 10%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the San Francisco highest temperature for August 24 centers on the 68–73 °F range because National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 67 °F, with afternoon clearing and west winds of 10–20 mph determining whether readings reach the upper 60s or low 70s. A compressed marine layer and persistent onshore flow are suppressing inland heat transport, keeping the city near or slightly below the 69.6 °F climatological average, while minor differences in model timing of stratus dissipation create the tight spread between the 70–71 °F (33 %) and 68–69 °F (24.5 %) bins. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will resolve the final maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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