Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco's overnight low near the 58–59°F range for August 24, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing 57–59°F under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions. A stable pressure pattern featuring eastern Pacific low pressure and a Four Corners high has suppressed both heat intrusions and stronger cooling, keeping temperatures near long-term August norms. Model consensus remains tight, yet small variations in marine layer depth, wind speed, or fog clearance timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°F across observation sites, explaining tight clustering between the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins. Historical climatology places typical August lows at 55–57°F, so current conditions represent slightly above-average overnight readings with limited downside risk absent an unexpected surge in onshore winds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
49°F or below 41%
58-59°F 37%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 19%
49°F or below
41%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
49°F or below 41%
58-59°F 37%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 19%
49°F or below
41%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco's overnight low near the 58–59°F range for August 24, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing 57–59°F under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions. A stable pressure pattern featuring eastern Pacific low pressure and a Four Corners high has suppressed both heat intrusions and stronger cooling, keeping temperatures near long-term August norms. Model consensus remains tight, yet small variations in marine layer depth, wind speed, or fog clearance timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°F across observation sites, explaining tight clustering between the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins. Historical climatology places typical August lows at 55–57°F, so current conditions represent slightly above-average overnight readings with limited downside risk absent an unexpected surge in onshore winds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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