Forecasts from major models indicate an afternoon peak near 28–29°C in Paris on August 27, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.3°C, reflecting seasonal warmth tempered by high humidity and convective cloud cover that limits strong solar heating. Model spreads arise mainly from timing and intensity of precipitation, which could suppress the maximum by several degrees or allow brief spikes above 29°C if breaks occur. Traders weigh these variables against real-time observations, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to 30°C+ given the unstable air mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 27?
28°C 31%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C or higher 11%
NEW
$87,161 Vol.
NEW
$87,161 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
17%
28°C
31%
29°C
28%
30°C or higher
11%
28°C 31%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C or higher 11%
NEW
$87,161 Vol.
NEW
$87,161 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$460 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$14,875 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15,121 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,774 Vol.
4%
25°C
$9,943 Vol.
6%
26°C
$9,600 Vol.
10%
27°C
$8,429 Vol.
17%
28°C
$7,146 Vol.
31%
29°C
$7,782 Vol.
28%
30°C or higher
$5,323 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models indicate an afternoon peak near 28–29°C in Paris on August 27, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.3°C, reflecting seasonal warmth tempered by high humidity and convective cloud cover that limits strong solar heating. Model spreads arise mainly from timing and intensity of precipitation, which could suppress the maximum by several degrees or allow brief spikes above 29°C if breaks occur. Traders weigh these variables against real-time observations, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to 30°C+ given the unstable air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$87,161End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models indicate an afternoon peak near 28–29°C in Paris on August 27, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.3°C, reflecting seasonal warmth tempered by high humidity and convective cloud cover that limits strong solar heating. Model spreads arise mainly from timing and intensity of precipitation, which could suppress the maximum by several degrees or allow brief spikes above 29°C if breaks occur. Traders weigh these variables against real-time observations, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to 30°C+ given the unstable air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,161End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from major models indicate an afternoon peak near 28–29°C in Paris on August 27, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.3°C, reflecting seasonal warmth tempered by high humidity and convective cloud cover that limits strong solar heating. Model spreads arise mainly from timing and intensity of precipitation, which could suppress the maximum by several degrees or allow brief spikes above 29°C if breaks occur. Traders weigh these variables against real-time observations, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to 30°C+ given the unstable air mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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