**Coastal marine influences and a strong high-pressure ridge are anchoring trader expectations for Los Angeles highs near 84–87 °F on August 26, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for representative coastal stations (near LAX) project mostly sunny conditions with highs of 83–85 °F, consistent with the climatological peak average of 85 °F for that date. The marine layer and afternoon sea breeze continue to moderate temperatures despite the broader Southern California heat wave, which has pushed inland valleys toward 95–100 °F or higher. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through mid-week, with only modest warming possible if onshore flow weakens. These factors explain the heavy weighting toward the 84–85 °F (42.5 %) and 86–87 °F (27.5 %) bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
$10 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
41%
86-87°F
$138 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$44 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$11 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal marine influences and a strong high-pressure ridge are anchoring trader expectations for Los Angeles highs near 84–87 °F on August 26, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for representative coastal stations (near LAX) project mostly sunny conditions with highs of 83–85 °F, consistent with the climatological peak average of 85 °F for that date. The marine layer and afternoon sea breeze continue to moderate temperatures despite the broader Southern California heat wave, which has pushed inland valleys toward 95–100 °F or higher. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through mid-week, with only modest warming possible if onshore flow weakens. These factors explain the heavy weighting toward the 84–85 °F (42.5 %) and 86–87 °F (27.5 %) bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$337End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal marine influences and a strong high-pressure ridge are anchoring trader expectations for Los Angeles highs near 84–87 °F on August 26, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for representative coastal stations (near LAX) project mostly sunny conditions with highs of 83–85 °F, consistent with the climatological peak average of 85 °F for that date. The marine layer and afternoon sea breeze continue to moderate temperatures despite the broader Southern California heat wave, which has pushed inland valleys toward 95–100 °F or higher. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through mid-week, with only modest warming possible if onshore flow weakens. These factors explain the heavy weighting toward the 84–85 °F (42.5 %) and 86–87 °F (27.5 %) bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$337End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Coastal marine influences and a strong high-pressure ridge are anchoring trader expectations for Los Angeles highs near 84–87 °F on August 26, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for representative coastal stations (near LAX) project mostly sunny conditions with highs of 83–85 °F, consistent with the climatological peak average of 85 °F for that date. The marine layer and afternoon sea breeze continue to moderate temperatures despite the broader Southern California heat wave, which has pushed inland valleys toward 95–100 °F or higher. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through mid-week, with only modest warming possible if onshore flow weakens. These factors explain the heavy weighting toward the 84–85 °F (42.5 %) and 86–87 °F (27.5 %) bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact ridge positioning and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions