Traders see closely matched probabilities across mid-80s bins for Dallas’s August 26 overnight low because late-summer conditions produce modest radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with model guidance clustered near 84–87 °F. Recent hot, mostly clear nights have kept readings in the low-to-mid 80s, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak frontal passage could drop the minimum several degrees. NOAA and local forecast offices note typical late-August lows near 75–80 °F, yet persistent warmth this week has elevated the floor, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any overnight cooling or thunderstorm activity that alters the diurnal range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
98°F or higher 91%
94-95°F 81%
96-97°F 81%
84-85°F 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
42%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
81%
96-97°F
81%
98°F or higher
91%
98°F or higher 91%
94-95°F 81%
96-97°F 81%
84-85°F 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
43%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
48%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
48%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
43%
90-91°F
$4 Vol.
43%
92-93°F
$4 Vol.
43%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
81%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
81%
98°F or higher
$5 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across mid-80s bins for Dallas’s August 26 overnight low because late-summer conditions produce modest radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with model guidance clustered near 84–87 °F. Recent hot, mostly clear nights have kept readings in the low-to-mid 80s, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak frontal passage could drop the minimum several degrees. NOAA and local forecast offices note typical late-August lows near 75–80 °F, yet persistent warmth this week has elevated the floor, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any overnight cooling or thunderstorm activity that alters the diurnal range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$23End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across mid-80s bins for Dallas’s August 26 overnight low because late-summer conditions produce modest radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with model guidance clustered near 84–87 °F. Recent hot, mostly clear nights have kept readings in the low-to-mid 80s, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak frontal passage could drop the minimum several degrees. NOAA and local forecast offices note typical late-August lows near 75–80 °F, yet persistent warmth this week has elevated the floor, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any overnight cooling or thunderstorm activity that alters the diurnal range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities across mid-80s bins for Dallas’s August 26 overnight low because late-summer conditions produce modest radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds, with model guidance clustered near 84–87 °F. Recent hot, mostly clear nights have kept readings in the low-to-mid 80s, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak frontal passage could drop the minimum several degrees. NOAA and local forecast offices note typical late-August lows near 75–80 °F, yet persistent warmth this week has elevated the floor, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any overnight cooling or thunderstorm activity that alters the diurnal range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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