Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles shows overnight lows near 70°F for August 26 amid lingering marine-layer influence and variable sea breezes, yet trader odds remain nearly even between 61°F or below and 80°F or higher because of uncertainty over inversion strength and any residual warmth from the mid-August heat wave. Key variables include the depth of the cool marine air mass, wind patterns that either enhance or suppress onshore flow, and how urban heat retention versus coastal fog timing affects the daily minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on whether conditions trend cooler than seasonal norms or stay elevated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
61°F or below 58%
80°F or higher 58%
64-65°F 47%
62-63°F 35%
61°F or below
58%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
58%
61°F or below 58%
80°F or higher 58%
64-65°F 47%
62-63°F 35%
61°F or below
58%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
58%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles shows overnight lows near 70°F for August 26 amid lingering marine-layer influence and variable sea breezes, yet trader odds remain nearly even between 61°F or below and 80°F or higher because of uncertainty over inversion strength and any residual warmth from the mid-August heat wave. Key variables include the depth of the cool marine air mass, wind patterns that either enhance or suppress onshore flow, and how urban heat retention versus coastal fog timing affects the daily minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on whether conditions trend cooler than seasonal norms or stay elevated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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