Persistent high pressure and light southwest winds are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to overnight lows near 80–81°F for Houston on August 26 amid minimal radiative cooling from elevated dew points. Recent model runs show limited variability from cloud cover or sea-breeze influences that could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the upper 70s or keep it higher, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Typical late-August climatology features overnight temperatures in this range under similar synoptic setups, with any deviation hinging on subtle changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 26?
80-81°F 57%
71°F or below 43%
78-79°F 32%
84-85°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
43%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
14%
90°F or higher
16%
80-81°F 57%
71°F or below 43%
78-79°F 32%
84-85°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
$5 Vol.
43%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
21%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
24%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$40 Vol.
42%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
14%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and light southwest winds are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to overnight lows near 80–81°F for Houston on August 26 amid minimal radiative cooling from elevated dew points. Recent model runs show limited variability from cloud cover or sea-breeze influences that could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the upper 70s or keep it higher, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Typical late-August climatology features overnight temperatures in this range under similar synoptic setups, with any deviation hinging on subtle changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and light southwest winds are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to overnight lows near 80–81°F for Houston on August 26 amid minimal radiative cooling from elevated dew points. Recent model runs show limited variability from cloud cover or sea-breeze influences that could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the upper 70s or keep it higher, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Typical late-August climatology features overnight temperatures in this range under similar synoptic setups, with any deviation hinging on subtle changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and light southwest winds are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to overnight lows near 80–81°F for Houston on August 26 amid minimal radiative cooling from elevated dew points. Recent model runs show limited variability from cloud cover or sea-breeze influences that could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the upper 70s or keep it higher, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Typical late-August climatology features overnight temperatures in this range under similar synoptic setups, with any deviation hinging on subtle changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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