**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms from an active southerly airstream have moderated daytime heating across Hong Kong on August 26, 2026, positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently project a maximum of about 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, while real-time station readings through mid-afternoon showed peaks around 29–31.5°C at sites like Chek Lap Kok and Shek Kong, with many urban areas holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and southerly winds. The pattern of rain and reduced insolation has kept temperatures from climbing higher, explaining the market’s emphasis on 30°C (59%) over 31°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ reflecting the narrow range supported by current observations and model guidance. No major shifts in steering flow or additional tropical influences have altered this setup in the past day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
30°C 59%
31°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 5%
$70,897 Vol.
$70,897 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
14%
30°C
59%
31°C
26%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 59%
31°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 5%
$70,897 Vol.
$70,897 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
24°C or below
$778 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,166 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$23,876 Vol.
14%
30°C
$8,419 Vol.
59%
31°C
$9,247 Vol.
26%
32°C
$9,452 Vol.
5%
33°C
$6,568 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms from an active southerly airstream have moderated daytime heating across Hong Kong on August 26, 2026, positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes.**
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently project a maximum of about 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, while real-time station readings through mid-afternoon showed peaks around 29–31.5°C at sites like Chek Lap Kok and Shek Kong, with many urban areas holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and southerly winds.
The pattern of rain and reduced insolation has kept temperatures from climbing higher, explaining the market’s emphasis on 30°C (59%) over 31°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ reflecting the narrow range supported by current observations and model guidance. No major shifts in steering flow or additional tropical influences have altered this setup in the past day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$70,897End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms from an active southerly airstream have moderated daytime heating across Hong Kong on August 26, 2026, positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes.**
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently project a maximum of about 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, while real-time station readings through mid-afternoon showed peaks around 29–31.5°C at sites like Chek Lap Kok and Shek Kong, with many urban areas holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and southerly winds.
The pattern of rain and reduced insolation has kept temperatures from climbing higher, explaining the market’s emphasis on 30°C (59%) over 31°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ reflecting the narrow range supported by current observations and model guidance. No major shifts in steering flow or additional tropical influences have altered this setup in the past day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,897End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms from an active southerly airstream have moderated daytime heating across Hong Kong on August 26, 2026, positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently project a maximum of about 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, while real-time station readings through mid-afternoon showed peaks around 29–31.5°C at sites like Chek Lap Kok and Shek Kong, with many urban areas holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and southerly winds. The pattern of rain and reduced insolation has kept temperatures from climbing higher, explaining the market’s emphasis on 30°C (59%) over 31°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ reflecting the narrow range supported by current observations and model guidance. No major shifts in steering flow or additional tropical influences have altered this setup in the past day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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